UK time is: 19:05:22
Vital Login
Social Login

Choose your club

Other Sites

Network Navigation

Vital Partners

'If It's Football, It's Vital'

So, what are our must win games?

This article should be read in conjunction with Putney's 'Where will the points come from'. If indeed we are to stay up, then what are the must win games? Where must we at least pick up a point and where (if anywhere) could we just about accept a loss?

For what it's worth, here's my two pence worth (that`s two cents worth for any American readers). Although the usual bar for staying up is set at 40 points, I seriously doubt whether that is going to be the case this season. Let's be honest, for all Andy Gray's assertions that the Premier League is the best in the world, perhaps he is confusing 'most watched / highest transfer fees', with 'the best'.

The bottom half of the division is chock full of some really awful, awful teams including at least Bolton, Birmingham, Wigan, Sunderland, Boro, Us and the Rams. Let's face it, if we weren't already in the Premiership then it seems highly doubtful that anyone would pick us (or any of those clubs) out from the other also-rans in the Championship as a team to watch.

Anyway, with this in mind, I truly think that a more realistic stay up points total is around 35, if not slightly lower. What this means is that Fulham need gain only 17 - 20 points from our remaining fixtures to have a damn good chance of staying up. Also, we have a number of games against those other teams near the bottom which means not only do we have a good chance to grab some wins but we also have a great chance of denying those very same points to our relegation rivals.

Therefore, I believe we must (MUST!) win against Sunderland at home on April 5 and against Birmingham on May 3. That's six points in the bag. Then we almost certainly need to win against West Ham at home on February 23 and away to Derby (away!) on March 29. That's another six points, bringing our total to 27.

Finally, I think we must at least draw against Bolton away on January 29, against Villa at home on February 3, against Boro away on February 9 and against Reading away on April 12. That gives us another 4 points, bringing the total to 31.

Throw in two or even three more unexpected draws (pick from the games against Man City, Portsmouth and Newcastle away or Everton home) and we have at least 33 / 34 points. This allows us to lose to Man Utd (home), Blackburn (away), Everton (home) and Liverpool (home) without worrying too much.

Looking at the other sides` fixtures, I reckon we could just do it. Take Sunderland for example - they have fixtures against Birmingham, Wigan, Derby, Boro and Bolton (all teams near the bottom), so someone's gonna drop some points. Throw in some near unwinnable games against Liverpool, Everton, Chelsea, Villa (away) and Arsenal and the Black Cats have arguably a much tougher run in than we do.

Considering that we now have a better manager and are bringing in some decent players, we must surely gain more points in the second half of the season than we did in the first and, with a bit of luck and a fair wind, I think we'll just scrape through.

Or, as Atomic Kitten might say, am I only dreaming?




Use your social login to comment on front page articles. Login using you Facebook, Twitter, Google or LinkedIn accounts and have your say!

The Journalist

Writer: davidjwilkins Mail feedback, articles or suggestions

Date:Monday January 21 2008

Time: 5:22PM

Your Comments

gotta say this site is really picking up in recent weeks, all credit to putney and all those who are now chipping in. Nice article by the way and good luck with your quest to stay up!
merlin
Of our remaining 15 games, 5 of them can be considered '6 pointers'. These are the games that our players' need to stand up and be counted. I for one, as you've all realised from other comments, am sure we'll stay up, COYW's.
Zeno
Thanks Merlin. Glad to hear someone liked it. It was my first effort as well...
davidjwilkins
don't make it your last, the network needs fresh talent like you!
merlin
Good work davidjwilkins!! very good article!! I went to the bookies 2day to but a tenner on us staying up and they only gave me 6/4 odds! So they think we have a good chance!
oranje_emu
Your down. Oh don't you wish Cookie was still there, being bored as a mid table team.
storagematt
If you were on 20 with the rest of them, i'd back you to stay up. But i just can't see you closing that gap and then going ahead. Derby, fulham brum down for me.
EvertonMike
Win against west ham and draws against Villa and Reading. Hmmmm. The Bangles said it originally.
Carlosio
We'll never draw against Villa you say, Carlosio?!? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAAAA says me (on 4 February). Who looks silly now?
davidjwilkins
 

Have Your Say

Log in...
with your social network     OR     with your Vital account

Recent Fulham Articles

Passley in Trouble at Portsmouth (Monday March 30 2015)

Fulham to Get Shot of Stekelenburg (Monday March 30 2015)

A Ray of Sunshine on the Horizon! (Friday March 27 2015)

Fulham Fined 20,000 (Friday March 27 2015)

Fulham Tried for Blackett (Wednesday March 25 2015)

Loan Spell for Amorebieta (Tuesday March 24 2015)

Fulham Interested in McCarthy? (Monday March 23 2015)

Fulham Charged by the FA! (Monday March 23 2015)

Woodrow Receives Call-Up! (Monday March 23 2015)

Archived Fulham Articles

List All Vital Fulham Articles
Have your say
Click here to suggest an article
Click here to suggest a poll
ScoopDragon Publishing Entire League Network of Sites

Vital Members League (view all)

1. dobox 6
2. Oldwolf 1
3. jpiedra 1

League Table (view table)

Team P W D L GD Pts
17. Bolton 39 12 9 18 -11 45
18. Huddersfield 39 11 11 17 -19 44
19. Reading 38 12 8 18 -19 44
20. Fulham 39 12 7 20 -18 43
21. Rotherham 39 9 13 17 -20 40
22. Wigan 39 8 11 20 -17 35
23. Millwall 39 7 12 20 -31 33

Breaking League News

Countdown To Bournemouth Showdown Begins!
Ipswich : 31/03/2015 18:28:00
BWFC: 'Keepers
Bolton : 31/03/2015 18:23:01
LUFC Cook suffers injury on international duty
Leeds Utd : 31/03/2015 17:17:00
Reasons Why Wednesday MUST Sign McGugan
Sheff Wed : 31/03/2015 14:51:01
Video: England U21s1 3-2 Germany U21s
Norwich : 31/03/2015 12:00:01

Current Site Poll (view all polls)

MOTM v Huddersfield?
Suggested By:  putney
Bettinelli 88%
Grimmer 0%
Turner 0%
Hutchinson 0%
Richards 0%
Hoogland 0%
Tunnicliffe 6%
Kavanagh 0%
Kacaniklic 0%
Smith 0%
Woodrow 0%
Bodurov 0%
Fofana 0%
Rodallega 6%