Where will the points come from?
Okay, so we`ve fifteen games left to play, we`re marooned on fifteen points, we`ve won only twice all season and the supposed safety target of forty points seems a long way off.
Indeed, forty points is some twenty-five points away, in simple terms we need 8 wins and a draw for almost guaranteed survival.
Our fixtures remaining are against -
at home Aston Villa, West Ham, Manchester United, Everton, Sunderland, Liverpool and Birmingham
away from home Bolton, Middlesbrough, Blackburn, Newcastle, Derby, Reading, Manchester City and Portsmouth.
Looking at the home games you`d be fearful of our current chances of beating Manchester United, Everton and probably Liverpool. Therefore that leaves Aston Villa, West Ham, Sunderland and Birmingham. If 'Lady Luck` smiles on us that equates to a maximum of 12 points, still thirteen to achieve.
Away from home you`d rule out Blackburn, Newcastle, Portsmouth and Manchester City, leaving us a return of another twelve points, that`s assuming we break our current away day hoodoo.
Now can you see where I`m going?
Hodgson may remain optimistic but I`m just resigned to being very fearful of what lies ahead.