Vital Football

Latest Fulham FC News

Fulham - The Enigma of the Draw!

Fulham - The Enigma of the Draw!

UNDEFEATED. it sounds great, doesn't it?

But, is it really? In Fulham's case, I'm not so sure. Yes, we've lost no matches, but we have only one win in six. Draws provide a false sense of security, and paired with an unexpected string of losses, can quickly turn into an anchor around the neck that can see you dragged down the table. Wins are what matter.

I'm not suggesting that draws don't have value; obviously they do. If you're a struggling club, draws sometimes make all the difference. They are often the difference between top-flight status and relegation to the Championship.

In 2007-08, eight-win Fulham owed our survival to twelve draws that allowed us finish even on points with ten-win Reading, where goal differential kept us out of relegation.

In 2004-05, a six-win West Bromwich Albion squad with an inferior goal differential finished a point above seven-win Crystal Palace on the strength of sixteen draws.

Draws also have an impact at the top of the table. Chelsea claimed the title last season by a single point - one more draw in place of a loss than Man United. In fairness, Chelsea's superior goal differential would have seen them claim the title even if the point totals would have been equal.

The exact same scenario occurred in 1998-99 season when Man United claimed the title by a single point over Arsenal. The additional draw in place of a loss in that case was even more significant as United had a one-goal advantage in goal differential that would have been nullified had Arsenal shared the same record.

Again in fairness, Man United would have still won the title on goals scored.

In the preceding season (1997-98), Man United lost the title to Arsenal by a single point, but in that case, could've won the title on goal differential had points been equal. In that season, a single draw crowned the champion. So draws are good, right?

Uummm. maybe not.

If you're not concerned with relegation, and aspire to championships or European qualification draws can be killers. In recent times, just ask Liverpool and Manchester City.

In 2008-09, Liverpool suffered only two defeats and had a superior goal differential, but eleven draws saw them finish four points behind a four-loss Manchester United squad for the title.

Last season, Man City had three fewer defeats and a superior goal differential, but thirteen draws saw them finish three points behind Spurs for the final Champions League place.

Beyond the mathematical significance of a draw, there's the mental aspect. Draws can bring out differing emotional responses for players, coaches and fans based on the circumstances. Draws at home tend to be disappointing; while draws on the road tend to be acceptable.

But, that doesn't always hold true. Draws against the big clubs, even at home, tend to be satisfying; while draws against lower opposition (or perceived lower opposition), even away, tend to be frustrating. Additionally, regardless of where the draw occurred or who it occurred against, the manner in which it happened can enhance whatever the initial reaction might be. Fighting back to earn a draw tends to elevate satisfaction or allay frustration. Conceding late to give up a win tends to have the opposite effect.

So, what are we to make of Fulham's five draws in six matches - good, bad, neither? Of course, it's too early to say. The next two matches will reveal their significance. Pick up two wins (or a win and a draw) and the early draws are looking pretty good. Lose one or both and the early draws begin to loom large. Draw both. c'mon. Could we really have seven draws in our first eight matches? Could you imagine - undefeated, but sitting in the bottom half of the table? I don't even want to think about it.

Join The Vital Debate

Vital Fulham on: facebook

Vital Fulham on: twitter






Click here to join in the debate on the club forum.

Writer:Teddy_KGB
Date:Wednesday September 29 2010
Time: 5:04PM

Comments

0
a good article - it kept me intrigued!
Red Boy
29/09/2010 19:24:00
0
I'll second that -article of the week (so far) I reckon
Al Billy
29/09/2010 19:34:00
0
Looking at who we have played so far is a fair indicator. Home: Man Utd - Draw, Wolves - Win, Everton - Draw. For me this is fine as Man Utd is no easy feat despite the last two season, Wolves with the injury to Zamora was a great result, and Everton with the lack of attacking options was, for me, expected. Away: Bolton - Draw, Blackpool - Draw, Blackburn - Draw. Out of all of those Blackpool is the only disappointment as some horrible defensive mistakes were made. The other two, are fine. All aside though, Hughes has only been in the Fulham hot seat for just under 3 months. He is still learning about the team and to be fair he has alot to live up to. I'm still confident we will get top 10 despite our current injury crisis. Oh and I'm predicting a 1-0 win over West Ham on Saturday.
Riverside Chanter
29/09/2010 19:39:00
0
upton park has been a bogey ground for us, has it not? i'm hoping for a win, but who knows what will happen...
woodysweats
29/09/2010 21:47:00
0
true woody....i will miss my usual lunch time refreshments at the demark arms before rolling into upton park to watch us lose, then it's out and doing the rounds at local hammers pubs! Of course the colours stay at home! please win fulham! COYW!!!
Leonestar
01/10/2010 12:08:00
0
SAME QUESTION 1 POINT GAINED OR TWO LOST
truth sayer ffc
02/10/2010 20:29:00
0
SAME QUESTION 1 POINT GAINED OR TWO LOST
truth sayer ffc
02/10/2010 20:29:00
Page 1/1
  1. 1

Login to post a comment

Best of Vital Network

Recent Fulham Articles

Stats: Fulham v Brentofrd

All the stats from Fulham (1) vs (1) Brentofrd, Craven Cottage, 29/04/17 15:00 Att: 24,594

Fulham 1 Brentford 1 - Views from the Bench

A 1-1 draw, in a West London derby with Brentford, has all but guaranteed Fulham a place in the Championship play-off shake up.

Fulham 1 Brentford 1

Fulham went in to their penultimate Championship fixture of the 2016 / 2017 season knowing two wins from their final two games would secure a play-off place.

Fulham v Brentford - Team-Sheets

Fulham entertain Brentford in their penultimate game of the Championship season.

Archived Vital Fulham Articles

Vital Fulham articles from

Site Journalists

Andrew Joyce
Editor email
Profile

Current Poll (see more polls)

MOTM v Brentford (h)?
Suggested By: putney
Bettinelli0%
Fredericks25%
Kalas0%
Ream50%
Malone0%
McDonald0%
Johansen0%
Cairney25%
Aluko0%
Sessegnon0%
Ayite0%
Piazon0%
Kebano0%
ScoopDragon Publishing Entire League Network of Sites

League Table

# Team P W D L Pts. GD
P Brighton 45 28 8 9 92 34
P Newcastle 45 28 7 10 91 42
3 Reading 45 25 7 13 82 2
4 Sheff Wed 45 24 9 12 81 16
5 Huddersfield 45 25 6 14 81 1
6 Fulham 45 21 14 10 77 27
7 Leeds Utd 45 22 8 15 74 14
8 Norwich 45 19 10 16 67 12
9 Derby County 45 18 12 15 66 4
10 Brentford 45 18 10 17 64 12
11 Preston 45 16 14 15 62 2
12 Aston Villa 45 16 13 16 61 -1
13 Cardiff 45 16 11 18 59 -4
14 Barnsley 45 15 13 17 58 0
15 Wolves 45 15 10 20 55 -5
16 Ipswich 45 13 16 16 55 -7
17 Bristol City 45 15 9 21 54 -5
18 Q.P.R. 45 15 8 22 53 -10
19 Burton 45 13 13 19 52 -12
20 Birmingham 45 12 14 19 50 -20
21 Forest 45 13 9 23 48 -13
22 Blackburn 45 11 15 19 48 -14
R Wigan 45 10 11 24 41 -17
R Rotherham 45 5 7 33 22 -58
Vital Football Comment
Latest F1 News
Latest Vital Boxing News
Write for Vital Football

Recent Fulham Results (view all)

Fulham Fixtures (view all)

May 7 2017 12:00PM : Sheffield Wednesday (a)
Sky Bet Championship
The Vital Football Members League