Vital Football

Latest Fulham FC News

Fulham - What if?

Fulham - What if?

Six matches into the Premier League season and Fulham sit undefeated; five draws and a single win.

An odd beginning to the season to be sure, but one that provides at least two clear opportunities to subvert the field of statistical analysis for my own amusement.

Let's take six week's worth of information to extrapolate over a thirty-eight match season to draw an irreproachable conclusion. Hey, the news media does it all the time, so it must be a completely valid and worthwhile approach to predicting the future.

Scenario #1- Fulham Go Undefeated (Well, this is just too tempting to pass up.) You could approach this from two angles:

a) One win and five draws every six matches;

b) one win and three draws every four matches (we defeated Wolves in our fourth match).

One assumes a pattern. The other assumes no pattern. Hmmm, let's just do both!

a) This could result in six or seven wins depending on how they fall, so we'd be looking at either 50 points (6-32-0) or 52 points (7-31-0). Either of those point totals would put us solidly mid-table, but might even garner a Europa League spot.

b) This is the far more appealing scenario as it would guarantee nine wins, so we'd finish the season with 56 points (9-29-0). Again, solidly mid-table and a Europa League spot even more likely.

Heartwarming, isn't it. Little old Fulham join Arsenal as the only undefeated Premier League side (take it easy PNE supporters, I said Premier League), while obliterating the record for most draws in a season.

Ah, wait, the six-match projection applied to Man United would also have them going undefeated this season and thus raining on our parade. Oh well, who cares!

Scenario #2 - Fulham Continue Our Win Rate, Regardless of Draws (Scary, scary thought.)

Same two approaches from Scenario #1 apply:

a) six/seven win season;

b) nine win season.

a) To say that six or seven wins would be an impediment to maintaining our Premier League status would be an understatement. However, West Brom managed to stay up in 2004-05 with only six wins, so it's not impossible. Just keep those draws coming lads!

b) Well, nine wins is much more manageable. Why on two separate occasions, Fulham has managed to keep our Premier League status with only eight wins (2006-07, 2007-08), so nine wins is a cake walk. Virtually every season, a nine win team keeps their Premier League status. Again, keep those draws coming lads! There you have it.

Here's to wasting your time with useless, but unimpeachable statistical analysis (and fortune telling) courtesy of Teddy_KGB.

Cheers.

Join The Vital Debate

Vital Fulham on: facebook

Vital Fulham on: twitter





Click here to join in the debate on the club forum.

Writer:Teddy_KGB
Date:Wednesday September 29 2010
Time: 4:27PM

Comments

0
brilliant... i love it... from a history standpoint, where haven't we drawn recently? at Man U? we've drawn at stamford bridge, emirates, and anfield... we've won at the city of manchester... we could legitimately pull it off maybe? why not?
woodysweats
29/09/2010 21:42:00
0
SOUNDS LIKE PIE IN THE SKY AT THIS POINT OR PIE DIVEDED BY GOB PLUSS DE GOCH HA HA
truth sayer ffc
02/10/2010 20:43:00
Page 1/1
  1. 1

Login to post a comment

Recent Fulham Articles

Derby (h) - Views from the Bench

What did the two managers have to say post-match?

Fulham 1 Derby County 1

Fulham, despite taking the lead, have to settle for a draw against Derby County

Stats: Fulham v Derby County

All the stats from Fulham (1) vs (1) Derby County, Craven Cottage, 06/02/16 15:00 Att: 18,472

Fulham v Derby - Team-Sheets

After a break of two weeks, courtesy of our inactivity in the FA Cup last weekend, Fulham are back in action this afternoon.

Archived Vital Fulham Articles

Vital Fulham articles from

Site Journalists

Andrew Joyce
Profile

Current Poll (see more polls)

MOTM v Derby?
Suggested By: putney
Lonergan8%
Richards0%
Burn11%
Amorebieta23%
Garbutt0%
Cairney35%
Ince23%
O'Hara0%
Christensen0%
Dembele0%
McCormack0%
Parker0%
Smith0%
Kacaniklic0%
ScoopDragon Publishing Entire League Network of Sites

League Table

# Team P W D L Pts. GD
1 Hull City 29 17 5 7 56 26
2 Middlesbrough 28 17 5 6 56 23
3 Burnley 30 15 10 5 55 22
4 Brighton 29 14 11 4 53 9
5 Derby County 30 13 12 5 51 14
6 Sheff Wed 30 13 11 6 50 12
7 Ipswich 30 13 9 8 48 2
8 Birmingham 30 13 8 9 47 8
9 Cardiff 30 11 12 7 45 5
10 Forest 30 10 12 8 42 6
11 Wolves 30 10 10 10 40 -1
12 Brentford 30 11 7 12 40 -2
13 Q.P.R. 30 9 12 9 39 1
14 Preston 30 9 12 9 39 -1
15 Reading 30 9 9 12 36 0
16 Leeds Utd 30 8 12 10 36 -5
17 Huddersfield 30 8 8 14 32 -4
18 Blackburn 28 6 13 9 31 0
19 Fulham 29 6 11 12 29 -5
20 Bristol City 30 6 10 14 28 -22
21 MK Dons 29 7 6 16 27 -18
22 Rotherham 30 7 4 19 25 -19
23 Bolton 30 4 12 14 24 -21
24 Charlton 30 5 9 16 24 -30
Latest F1 News
Latest Vital Boxing News

Fulham Fixtures (view all)

Feb 13 2016 12:30PM : Queens Park Rangers (a)
Sky Bet Championship
Feb 16 2016 7:45PM : Blackburn Rovers (a)
Sky Bet Championship
Feb 20 2016 3:00PM : Charlton Athletic (H)
Sky Bet Championship
Feb 23 2016 7:45PM : Leeds United (a)
Sky Bet Championship
Feb 27 2016 3:00PM : Middlesbrough (H)
Sky Bet Championship
Mar 5 2016 3:00PM : Reading (a)
Sky Bet Championship

Recent Fulham Results (view all)

Vital Members League Table

RankNamePoints
1.bbei6376