UK time is: 08:43:51
Vital Login
Social Login

Choose your club

Other Sites

Network Navigation

Vital Partners

'If It's Football, It's Vital'

Fulham - What if?

Six matches into the Premier League season and Fulham sit undefeated; five draws and a single win.

An odd beginning to the season to be sure, but one that provides at least two clear opportunities to subvert the field of statistical analysis for my own amusement.

Let's take six week's worth of information to extrapolate over a thirty-eight match season to draw an irreproachable conclusion. Hey, the news media does it all the time, so it must be a completely valid and worthwhile approach to predicting the future.

Scenario #1- Fulham Go Undefeated (Well, this is just too tempting to pass up.) You could approach this from two angles:

a) One win and five draws every six matches;

b) one win and three draws every four matches (we defeated Wolves in our fourth match).

One assumes a pattern. The other assumes no pattern. Hmmm, let's just do both!

a) This could result in six or seven wins depending on how they fall, so we'd be looking at either 50 points (6-32-0) or 52 points (7-31-0). Either of those point totals would put us solidly mid-table, but might even garner a Europa League spot.

b) This is the far more appealing scenario as it would guarantee nine wins, so we'd finish the season with 56 points (9-29-0). Again, solidly mid-table and a Europa League spot even more likely.

Heartwarming, isn't it. Little old Fulham join Arsenal as the only undefeated Premier League side (take it easy PNE supporters, I said Premier League), while obliterating the record for most draws in a season.

Ah, wait, the six-match projection applied to Man United would also have them going undefeated this season and thus raining on our parade. Oh well, who cares!

Scenario #2 - Fulham Continue Our Win Rate, Regardless of Draws (Scary, scary thought.)

Same two approaches from Scenario #1 apply:

a) six/seven win season;

b) nine win season.

a) To say that six or seven wins would be an impediment to maintaining our Premier League status would be an understatement. However, West Brom managed to stay up in 2004-05 with only six wins, so it's not impossible. Just keep those draws coming lads!

b) Well, nine wins is much more manageable. Why on two separate occasions, Fulham has managed to keep our Premier League status with only eight wins (2006-07, 2007-08), so nine wins is a cake walk. Virtually every season, a nine win team keeps their Premier League status. Again, keep those draws coming lads! There you have it.

Here's to wasting your time with useless, but unimpeachable statistical analysis (and fortune telling) courtesy of Teddy_KGB.

Cheers.

Join The Vital Debate

Vital Fulham on: facebook

Vital Fulham on: twitter






Use your social login to comment on front page articles. Login using you Facebook, Twitter, Google or LinkedIn accounts and have your say!



Click here to join in the debate on the club forum.

The Journalist

Writer: Teddy_KGB Mail feedback, articles or suggestions

Date:Wednesday September 29 2010

Time: 4:27PM

Your Comments

brilliant... i love it... from a history standpoint, where haven't we drawn recently? at Man U? we've drawn at stamford bridge, emirates, and anfield... we've won at the city of manchester... we could legitimately pull it off maybe? why not?
woodysweats
SOUNDS LIKE PIE IN THE SKY AT THIS POINT OR PIE DIVEDED BY GOB PLUSS DE GOCH HA HA
truth sayer ffc
 

Have Your Say

Log in...
with your social network     OR     with your Vital account

Recent Fulham Articles

Just A Matter Of Time (Saturday October 25 2014)

Trott On (Saturday October 25 2014)

Parker Backs Symons (Saturday October 25 2014)

Fulham 3 Charlton 0 (Saturday October 25 2014)

Stats: Fulham v Charlton (Saturday October 25 2014)

Fulham v Charlton - Team-Sheets (Friday October 24 2014)

Ball Supports Symons (Friday October 24 2014)

Fulham v Charlton - It`s On The TV! (Friday October 24 2014)

Parker Faces First Love (Friday October 24 2014)

And Still We Wait! (Wednesday October 22 2014)

Archived Fulham Articles

List All Vital Fulham Articles
Have your say
Click here to suggest an article
Click here to suggest a poll

Vital Members League (view all)

1. dobox 10
2. Oldwolf 8
3. truezebra 1
4. acrossthepond 1

League Results (view all)

Latest Results
Fulham 1 - 0 Norwich
Fulham 0 - 1 Millwall
Fulham 1 - 1 Cardiff
Fulham 3 - 0 Charlton
Fulham 4 - 0 Bolton
Fulham 0 - 1 Blackburn

League Table (view table)

Team P W D L GD Pts
17. Huddersfield 14 4 5 5 -6 17
18. Leeds Utd 14 4 4 6 -4 16
19. Wigan 14 3 6 5 -1 15
20. Fulham 14 4 2 8 -6 14
21. Brighton 14 2 7 5 -3 13
22. Bolton 14 3 2 9 -11 11
23. Birmingham 14 2 5 7 -16 11

Breaking League News

Leeds Utd : 26/10/2014 08:00:00
LUFC On This Day - October 26th
Leeds Utd : 26/10/2014 07:40:00
Pugh: Over the moon
Bournemouth : 26/10/2014 07:27:00
Match Report From Kids Corner: Forest v Rovers
Forest : 26/10/2014 07:16:00
Gray Hails Westwood Performance
Norwich : 26/10/2014 07:00:00

Current Site Poll (view all polls)

MOTM v Charlton?
Suggested By:  putney
Bettinelli 0%
Hoogland 0%
Bodurov 0%
Burn 20%
Stafylidis 0%
Parker 20%
Chrisensen 20%
Ruiz 0%
Rodallega 0%
McCormack 40%
Kavanagh 0%
Roberts 0%
Zverotic 0%
Woodrow 0%